US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar stumbles following Chair Powell's remarks

The US Dollar Index (DXY) tumbled to 105.45 on Wednesday following the Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to hold rates at 5.25-5.50% and Chair Powell’s cautious comments. The US economy, despite facing inflationary pressures and a tightening labor market, maintains robust domestic demand as per Powell's observations.

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EUR/USD jitters post-Fed with NFP Friday over the horizon

EUR/USD jitters post-Fed with NFP Friday over the horizon

EUR/USD cycled familiar territory on Wednesday after the US Federal Reserve held rates as many investors had expected. However, market participants were hoping for further signs of impending rate cuts from the US central bank.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD rises above 1.2500 on weaker Dollar

GBP/USD rises above 1.2500 on weaker Dollar

The resumption of the upward pressure sends GBP/USD back above 1.2500 the figure in response to increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY rebounds above 156.00 after probable Japan's intervention-led crash

USD/JPY rebounds above 156.00 after probable Japan's intervention-led crash

USD/JPY is staging a solid comeback above 156.00, having lost nearly 450 pips in some minutes after the Japanese Yen rallied hard on another suspected Japan FX market intervention in the late American session on Wednesday. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price stalls rebound below $2,330 as US Dollar recovers

Gold price stalls rebound below $2,330 as US Dollar recovers

Gold price is holding the rebound below $2,330 in Asian trading on Thursday, as the US Dollar recovers in sync with the USD/JPY pair and the US Treasury bond yields, in the aftermath of the Fed decision and the likely Japanese FX intervention. 

Gold News

WTI remains under selling pressure below $81.00 amid unexpected oil stockpile build

WTI remains under selling pressure below $81.00 amid unexpected oil stockpile build

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $80.80 on Wednesday. The black gold edges lower on rising crude inventories in the United States and easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.